As of today, he's got the count at Kerry 280, Bush 238, with two states tied -- Colorado and Missouri. Then he talks about how, even if those states went to Bush, Kerry would still win, which is correct.
On the other hand, he's already spoken of how he doesn't believe the most recent poll that shows Kerry ahead in Tennessee. (It'd surprise me too, but I was surprised when Gore lost Tennessee in 2000, so what do I know?) And if you added those eleven electoral votes to Bush's total and took them away from Kerry's, you'd arrive at:
Kerry 269, Bush 269.
There's what I want for Christmas! An election being decided by the House of Representatives...